China Speakers Bureau

China seeks Arctic shipping lanes - Wendell Minnick

An armed suspected pirate looks over the edge ...

Suspected pirates via Wikipedia

While the world is fearing the melting polar is, China sees new opportunities for Arctic shipping lanes, writes defense expert Wendell Minnick on his weblog. Other sea lanes could become potentially problematic.

Beijing has had security concerns over the sea lanes of communication. China is dependent on oil and gas shipments from the Middle East. Potential choke points in the Malacca Strait and territorial disputes in the South China Sea have added to the concern. For the first time in China’s modern naval history, it has taken up anti-piracy patrols in the Gulf of Aden to ward off Somali pirates.

Though an Arctic passage would do little to solve security concerns over oil and gas shipments from the Middle East, it would provide a shorter route for China’s exports to Europe. It is estimated that the maritime route between Asia and Europe could be reduced from 15,000 miles to less than 8,000 miles, Wang Kuan-Hsiung, a researcher at National Taiwan Normal University, said.

More at Wendell Minnick's weblog.

Wendell Minnick is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. When you need him at your meeting or confer

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ence, do get in touch.

Taiwan builds stealthy catamarans for Strait - Wendell Minnick (chinaherald.net)
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China tested its VSTOL fighter - Wendell Minnick (chinaherald.net)
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Labels: China, China Speakers Bureau, military, Wendell Minnick

Taiwan builds stealthy catamarans for Strait - Wendell Minnick

Wendell Minnick by Fantake via Flickr

Taiwan plans to build its first prototype of a stealthy 500-ton catamaran corvette in 2012 under the Hsun Hai (Swift Sea) program, Deputy Defense Minister Lin Yu-pao told legislators in April, according to Wendell Minnick on his weblog.

A Taiwan defense source said there are initial plans to build 10 Swift Seas armed with anti-ship missiles.  “We have already finished the research design and the contract design, and the bidding process will begin in 2012 with delivery in 2014,” he said.  The vessels will be deployed in the Taiwan Strait to break a Chinese naval blockade or stop an invasion fleet, he said.  ..

Local media reports have dubbed the Swift Sea vessel the “carrier-killer” in response to China’s planned deployment of its first aircraft carrier, the Ukrainian Varyag, expected to begin sea trials this summer. Beijing has not officially named the ship yet. Western guesses include Shi Lang, after the admiral who conquered Taiwan in 1681, and Liu Huaqing, after the father of China’s modern navy.  
However, the carrier will most likely be based in the South China Sea and not be deployed against Taiwan except off the east of the island during a conflict, said the Taiwan defense source.  

More on Wendell Minnick's weblog.

Wendell Minnick is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch.

Labels: China, China Speakers Bureau, military, Wendell Minnick

China tested its VSTOL fighter - Wendell Minnick

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Military technology of China's air force has taken another step as online rumor suggest a test flight by the J-18 Red Eagle vertical short takeoff and landing (VSTOL) fighter, writes Wendell Minnick in Defense News.

China's defense industry is largely opaque and it is difficult to substantiate Internet chatter. However, Chinese-language military blogs reported the first test flight of the stealthy J-20 Black Eagle fighter in January, much to the surprise of the Western media.

Now there are reports emerging of a test flight of the J-18. Tests were supposedly conducted earlier this month and the fighter is similar to the Sukhoi Su-33 carrier-based fighter.
"In 2005, a Chinese aviation industry source told me the Chengdu Aircraft Corporation was considering a F-35B-like program," said Richard Fisher, vice president of the Washington-based International Assessment and Strategy Center. "Given the PLA's naval power projection ambitions, it is probable there is VSTOL or STOVL [short takeoff and vertical landing] fighter program."

Russian fighter jet "no option for China" - Wendell Minnick

Wendell Minnick

The Russian fighter jet MiG-29k is "no option" for China's former Soviet-built carrier Varyag, told a Russian defense official at the 2011 Aero India air show in Bangalore, writes Wendell Minnick in Defense News.

"This is not an option for China's aircraft carrier program," the Russian defense industry official said, citing unresolved differences with China over intellectual property in the Su-27/J-11B fighter scandal.
In 2009, Russian officials accused China of stealing the blueprints for the Su-27 to produce an indigenous variant, the J-11B. There also have been allegations that the design for China's new L-15 advanced trainer jet was copied directly from Russia's Yak-130.
"The Chinese are going with an indigenous option for their carrier aircraft, most likely a modified variant of the Su-33," the industry official said.

More in Defense News.

Wendell Minnick is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. When you need him at your meeting or conference, do get in touch.

Labels: China, China Speakers Bureau, military, Russia, Wendell Minnick

The military do not take on President Hu - Shaun Rein

Hu Jintao via Wikipedia

The military take on president Hu Jintao by testing their J-20 stealth fighter just days before he leave for the US, writes John Pomfret in the Washington Post. Wrong, argues Shaun Rein in CNBC.

The opposite is true. President Hu is undoubtedly quite in control of China and displayed his power to Gates by employing a plausible deniability ploy.

A far more likely scenario than Pomfret's musings is that Hu is playing a cagey game. By hinting that the People's Liberation Army made the decision without civilian knowledge, Hu is showing he is reasonable and not warlike but the test underscores China will no longer be bullied by America. Hu's ploy of plausible deniability is in fact a common negotiating technique by the Chinese and it is surprising that Pomfret and other pundits missed that.

Many more arguments in CNBC.

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Shaun Rein is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch.

Labels: China, China Speakers Bureau, Hu Jintao, military, Shaun Rein

Military pondering combat plane for space - Wendell Minnick

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A supersonic combat aircraft is next on the wishlist of China's aviation industry, defense specialist Wendell Minnick writes in Defense News. China is looking for a new bomber in the 21th century, meaning also militarizing space.

Revealed at the recent 8th China International Aviation and Aerospace Exhibition (2010 Zhuhai Airshow), the winners of the 4th National Future Aircraft Design Competition were the Merlin fighter-bomber, SkyNet airship, Wolf Rider unmanned combat aircraft and the Shadow Dragon unmanned bomber. Though the four design concepts are well beyond China’s technical capabilities and “smack of science fiction fantasy,” all four represent a real effort on the part of the People’s Liberation Army to militarize space, said Ian Easton, a specialist in Chinese aeronautics at the Washington-based Project 2049 Institute.

More information on the different models (including pictures) at Wendell Minnick's weblog.

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Wendell Minnick is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch.

Labels: China, China Speakers Bureau, military, UAV, Wendell Minnick

Preparing for UAV reconnaissance and strike missions - Wendell Minnick

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Defense expert Wendell Minnick further explores China's efforts to expand its UAV reconnaissance and strike capabilitiesm. He looks back at the Zhuhai Air Show in Defense News at the offers from AVIC, CASC, CASIC and ASN.

The China Aviation Industry Corp. (AVIC) displayed a model of the new Pterodactyl I UAV. Similar in configuration to as the U.S.-built Raptor, the model was equipped with an unidentified air-to-ground missile under each wing. The 9nine-meter-long UAV has a wingspan of 13 meters and a fuselage width of 1 meter. Performance capabilities include a range of 4,000 kilometers, an endurance of 20 hours, maximum speed of 280 kilometers per hour and a maximum altitude of 5,000 meters. It was also outfitted with a sensor turret under the nose.

AVIC also displayed a model of the TL-8 training drone capable of simulating second- and third-generation fighter aircraft and cruise missiles. According to an AVIC brochure, the drone can operate at 0.85 Mach with a maximum flight time of 40 minutes.
The company also displayed models of two short-range fixed winged reconnaissance UAVs - Night Eagle and SW-1. Both have an operational flight time of three hours. AVIC also provided information on the new ducted-fan Whirlwind Scout. Capable of vertical takeoff and landing, the Scout has a 20-40 minute operational endurance.

More about the other companies at Defense News.

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ng or conference, do get in touch.

Labels: China, China Speakers Bureau, military, UAV, Wendell Minnick

UAV's displayed at Zhuhai air show - Wendell Minnick

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Chinese companies have displayed 25 different models of UAV, unmanned airplanes, at the Zhuhai air show, stressing it technological development, writes defense expert Wendell Minnick in Defense News.

Three Chinese companies - ASN Technology Group, China Aerospace Science and Industry Corp. (CASIC), and China Aerospace Science and Technology Corp. (CASC) produced most of the UAVs on display.

ASN Technology is the largest UAV production company in China, with a history of developing unmanned aerial platforms, including drones, since 1958, said a company press release. The primary customer is the Chinese military and the company controls more than 90 percent of the UAV market in China.

A company spokesperson said ASN works closely with the Northwestern Polytechnical University's UAV Institute.

ASN showed off 10 different UAVs, including the new ASN-211 Flapping Wing Aircraft System, which simulates a bird in flight. The prototype on display has a take-off weight of only 220 grams with a maximum speed of six-to-10 meters a second and an altitude ranging from 20-200 meters. A spokesperson said the micro-UAV would mainly be used for low-altitude reconnaissance for troops in the field.

More details at Defense News.

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Wendell Minnick is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. When you need him at your conference or other meeting, do get in touch.

Labels: air force, China, China Speakers Bureau, military, UAV, Wendell Minnick, Zhuhai

Air Force shows power in Zhuhai - Wendell Minnick

Wendell Minnick

Defense specialist Wendell Minnick got a preview of the site of the 8th China International Aviation and Aerospace Exhibition (Zhuhai Airshow), beginning today, showing off China's military capabilities in the air. Seventy aircrafts from 35 countries joined 600 domestic exhibitors.

There were several detailed artist renderings of anti-ship cruise missiles destroying a U.S. aircraft carrier. Two displays by the China Aerospace and Science and Technology Corp. demonstrated how using aerial reconnaissance from UAVs and Beidou satellite communication and navigation satellites could coordinate an anti-ship cruise missile assault from aircraft, surface ships, submarines and land-based coastal batteries....

Foreign commercial aviation and defense companies exhibiting this year include Airbus, AgustaWestland, Bombardier, GE Aviation, Irkut, Pratt and Whitney, Rolls-Royce, Rosoboronexport, Sikorsky, Sukhoi Aviation and Thales.

More in Defense News.

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Labels: air force, China, China Speakers Bureau, military, Wendell Minnick, Zhuhai

Air Force loses between powerful military - Wendell Minnick

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China's military leaders at the People's Liberation Army (PLA) might belong to the most powerful, its Air Force might be rising, but is still lacking clout, learned Wendell Minnick at a conference last week in Taipei on the position of the PLA Air Force (PLAAF), he writes on his weblog.

Despite improvements in China’s ability to dominate the airspace in and around Taiwan and project air power into the South China Sea, the PLAAF faces challenges from Army-led leaders that often inhibit air power.  

“The Army has always and will most likely continue to dominate the PLA’s joint leadership and structure,” said Kenneth Allen, a China military specialist at the Defense Group of the Center for Intelligence Research and Analyst, Washington.  

All the uniformed vice chairmen of the powerful Central Military Commission (CMC), which has total authority over the military, have been Army officers, he said. This includes the head of each of the four General Departments and the commander of each military region.  “In my opinion, there are no indications this situation will change,” Allen said.  

More at Wendell Minnick's weblog

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Labels: China, China Speakers Bureau, CMC, military, PLA, Wendell Minnick

Taiwan's military intelligence thorough infiltrated - Wendell Minnick

Wendell Minnickvia Flickr

Two high-profile arrests in Taiwan show that China has thoroughly infiltrated Taiwan's Military Intelligence Bureau (MIB), writes Wendell Minnick in Defense News.

Col. Lo Chi-cheng of the MIB and Taiwanese businessman Lo Pin are accused of supplying Beijing with the identities of MIB agents working in China. Both men were arrested Nov. 1. The number of MIB spies compromised since the two began giving information to China in 2007 was not revealed.

The MIB is responsible for collecting military intelligence within China and has a history of recruiting Taiwanese businessmen working in China.

The MIB recruited Lo Pin in 2005 to collect intelligence in China, but after a year, Chinese authorities arrested and allegedly tortured him. Lo Pin agreed to return to Taiwan as a double agent and recruited his MIB handler, Lo Chi-cheng, paying him about $100,000 over four years.

In Defense News an overview of earlier cases of infiltration into the MIB.

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Labels: China, China Speakers Bureau, intelligence, military, Taiwan, Wendell Minnick

Despite funding problems, Taiwan Marines want their vehicles - Wendell Minnick

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Although Taiwan's military have problems in making ends meet, and have even deferred advanced US weapon systems, the island's Marines want to push ahead with the purchase of new vehicles, writes Wendell Minnick in Defense News.

Taiwan’s Marine Corps is pushing for more money to replace its remaining LVTP-5A1 amphibious assault vehicles.  

In 2006, the service replaced the first half of its LVTPs with 54 re built AAV-7A1 amphibious assault vehicles.  

Four years later, the Marines are still waiting for the Navy to release funds for 65 more AAV-7s, said a local defense industry source.  

A Taiwan defense official confirmed the budget has been delayed, but denied the Navy was doing it intentionally. The entire national defense budget is taking hits to pay for $13 billion worth of new arms and equipment ordered over the last three years, including P-3C Orion maritime patrol aircraft, Patriot PAC-3 air defense missile systems, AH-64D Apache attack helicopters and UH-60 Black Hawk utility helicopters.  

More at Wendell Minnick's weblog.

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Wendell Minnick is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. When you need him at your conference or other meeting, do get in touch.

Labels: China, China Speakers Bureau, Marines, military, Taiwan, Wendell Minnick

Taiwan returns rockets and hurts US ties - Wendell Minnick

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The surprise move by Taiwan to defer two advanced weapon systems from the US is going to hurt its ties with its American allies, says Wendell Minnick in a comment for Reuters.

"It's going to hurt (Taiwan) in Washington to fight for these systems and then say they can't afford them," said Wendell Minnick, Asia bureau chief with Defense News. "It would discourage people in Washington who push hard for the releases."

Taiwan's military are facing a shortfall in funding, Wendell Minnick wrote earlier this month for Defense News.

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Wendell Minnick is a speaker for the China Speakers Bureau. When you need him at your meeting or conference, do get in touch.

Labels: China, China Speakers Bureau, military, Taiwan, Wendell Minnick

Taiwan rocket story ´political´ - Wendell Minnick

Taiwan via Wikipedia

Director General Tsai De-sheng of the Taiwanese National Security Bureau said this week that the number of rockets pointing at the island from China have risen to 1,400, but defense specialist Wendell Minnick is not convinced by the story, he tells Japanese media.

Wendell Minnick, Asia bureau chief for industry newspaper Defense News, expressed skepticism at the announcement and the lack of detail on the missiles that make up the total.

Adding to the confusion, Tsai said the figure included not only ballistic missiles but also long-range cruise missiles that would not likely be used against Taiwan, instead acting as "anti-access weapons" against countries intervening in a cross-strait conflict.

"This might be a political move, an attempt to encourage the Americans to release weapons to Taiwan," Minnick said, referring in part to 66 F-16 C/D fighters long sought by Taipei but whose sale is strongly opposed by Beijing.

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Labels: China, China Speakers Bureau, Defense, military, Taiwan, Wendell Minnick

Taiwan's military running out of funding - Wendell Minnick

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Taiwan's military are running out of money because of huge outstanding bills for the US and a reduced defense budget, writes Wendell Minnick in Defense News. New procurements might not be possible in the upcoming three years.
Wendell Minnick in his weblog:

Taiwan is facing more than $13 billion in bills for arms released by the U.S. government since 2007.  

The overall defense budget has dropped since 2008 — from $10.5 billion to a proposed $9.2 billion for 2011, submitted to the legislature Aug. 30. The new budget represents 16.6 percent of the national budget and 2.7 percent of the gross domestic product.  

The government is also, due to increasing economic hardship, borrowing money to finance the 2011 national budget — something that is relatively unheard of in Taiwan, sources said.  

Still, procurement plans are still in place for the next ten years.

The list includes 66 F-16C/D fighter aircraft, six C-27J cargo aircraft, upgrades for 145 aging F-16A/B fighters, upgrades to two Dutch-built diesel submarines and six French-built La Fayette frigates, two more U.S.-built Newport-class tank landing ships and eight new diesel submarines — a longstanding request.  

Taiwan’s Air Force has also been considering buying T-50 Golden Eagle attack jet trainers from Korea Aerospace Industries, Seoul, to replace aging AT-3 Tzu Chiang attack trainers and F-5 fighters used for training.  

More analysis in Wendell Minnick's weblog.

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Wendell Minnick is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. When you need him at your meeting or conference, do get in touch.

Labels: China, China Speakers Bureau, military, Taiwan, Wendell Minnick

China's defense industry elbows into Africa - Wendell Minnick

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China has become a new player in Africa and its defense industry is following that trend, notes Wendell Minnick in Defense News. China was competing with the once dominant Europeans at the September 2010 Africa Aerospace and Defence (AAD 2010) tri-service exhibition near Cape Town, South Africa.  
In Defense News:

Chinese defense companies have taken a sizeable portion of exhibition space at Ysterplaat Air Force Base with more than 1,200 square meters. More than a dozen major defense companies are exhibiting at the Sept. 21-25 show, including China National Aero-Technology Import and Export Corp. (CATIC) and China North Industries Corp. (NORINCO).  

China’s aggressive posture at the defense show reflects its broader strategies in Africa, where it has become a much more active supplier of arms.  

More details at Wendell Minnick's weblog.

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Wendell Minnick is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. When you need him at your conference or meeting, do get in touch.

Labels: China, China Speakers Bureau, Defense, military, Wendell Minnick

'Fat China' scores in most-sought speakers for September 2010

Paul French by Fantake via Flickr

Some remarkable changes in our monthly top-10 of most-sought speakers. While most of the listed speakers hold on to their position in the list, Paul French has entered the triumvirate of top-3 speakers at number 2, clearly a success related to his latest book Fat China: How Expanding Waistlines are Changing a Nation, where he identifies obesity as a new key problem China has to face in the decades to come. For China's health care yet another Gargantuan dilemma, caused by the advertisement industry, claims French.
Many other thought-leaders on China seem to prefer to stick other - undeniable giant - challenges has to face, but setting the agenda by re-framing China's challenges in such a way certainly seems to appeal to clients.
Shaun Rein, as usual, has been extremely active in the mainstream media in debating China-related issues, so he still remains very much at the top.
Good news is also the appearance of a new speaker, Helen Wang, who entered the first ranking right away at the 8th position. Her book, The Chinese Dream, on China's middle class is not yet available, so we have good expectations she might hang on to a top position in the months to come. All too often, when new speakers do not trigger off enough response among mainstream media., clients or otherwise, they often leave this top-10 as fast as they came in.
Wendell Minnick, with his special focus on China's military might, did not face that fate. As the military tensions increase in Asia, the Bureau Chief of Defense News in Taiwan solidly hangs on to the 9th position.
Without further delay, let's turn to the full top-10 of most-sought speakers of September 2010. (August 2010 in brackets).

Helen Wang by Fantake via Flickr

Are you looking for these or other speakers on China-related issues? Do get in touch.

Labels: Arthur Kroeber, health care, Helen Wang, Jasper BeckerKaiser Kuo, military, Paul French, Shaun Rein, Tom Doctoroff, Wendell Minnick, William Bao Bean, William Overholt

US sends radar upgrades to Taiwan - Wendell Minnick

Wendel Minnick by Fantake via Flickr

In a move that is likely going to upset China, the US has send radar upgrades to Taiwan for its Indigenous Defense Fighter (IDF), writes Wendell Minnick in Defense News.

The announcement came during a two-day tri-service military exercise in southern Taiwan from Aug. 24-25.

During the exercise, a Ministry of National Defense (MND) source said the radar deal was part of phase two of the IDF's F-CK-1C/D Hsiang Sheng upgrade program. Specifics of the deal were not released.

China has not yet reacted.
moves comes amid rising tensions between China on one side and its neighbors and US on the other side, regularly documented by Wendell Minnick.

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Wendell Minnick is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. When you need him at your conference or meeting, do get in touch.

Labels: China, China Speakers Bureau, military, USA, Wendell Minnick

Vietnam and US getting closer, thanks to China - Wendell Minnick

Wendell Minnickvia Flickr

China's maritime actions are enticing Vietnam to edge closer to the US, writes Wendell Minnick in Defense News.

The United States is taking advantage of Vietnamese angst over Chinese arrests of Vietnamese fishermen, threats against multinational oil companies operating in Vietnamese waters, increased naval exercises and the establishment of a submarine base on Hainan Island.Beijing appears to have abandoned its “smile campaign” toward Southeast Asia; Vietnam is responding accordingly, said Richard Bitzinger, a regional defense analyst at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Singapore.  

Tension between the countries is likely to rise, later in the year, writes Minnick:

The United States and Vietnam are to hold their first military-to-military talks in the final quarter of this year. Vietnam could agree to send officers to advanced education courses in the United States, said Carl Thayer, an expert on Vietnam at the Australian Defence Force Academy in Canberra.  

More background here.
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Wendell Minnick is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you want to share his thoughts on China as a military power, please get in touch.

Labels: China, China Speakers Bureau, military, USA, Vietnam, Wendell Minnick

Rising tension as US carrier visits Yellow Sea - Wendell Minnick

YOKOSUKA, JAPAN - SEPTEMBER 25: Sailors aboar...

Getty Images via @daylife

Military tensions between China and the US are rising again as US aircraft carrier George Washington will join exercises with South-Korea in the Yellow Sea, writes Wendell Minnick in Defense News.

The exact date the aircraft carrier would enter the Yellow Sea was not released. The George Washington did not enter the Yellow Sea during exercises last month, supposedly after Chinese objections, but plans to do so in upcoming exercises have once again enraged Beijing.

China "won't stand for U.S. naval provocation," said Maj. Gen. Luo Yuan in an editorial published in the Aug. 9 edition of Global Times.

Sunday, May 22, 2011

China seeks Arctic shipping lanes - Wendell Minnick

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Tuesday, April 26, 2011

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Monday, September 20, 2010

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Sunday, August 15, 2010

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